The Possible Impact of the COVID-19 On Crime Rates in Hungary

Abstract

The present study aims to make conservative predictions about the future trends of the criminality in Hungary, based on the experiences of the past centuries worldwide. So our initial hypothesis is that criminality is likely to increase from the second half of 2020, and this increase will continue for at least 1-2 years, after 2020. The only question is the extent of the rise and how we can slow or moderate the rise. In the time of the economic crisis the criminal law is a necessary but not sufficient tool for combating crime. If we know the past tendencies, we can prepare for the challenges of the future. We can respond before, during, or after problems arise. The earlier we move, the higher the efficiency can be.